PM2's independent game forecasts, frozen on game day before it saw any betting line, shown next to DraftKings' line. This is a research view, not a list of picks.
46FBS games forecast and frozen today
–Avg. miss in points, PM2 vs market, forward games so far
–Lines that moved toward PM2's Monday numberInterim, not a decision sample
32Games where PM2 is missing known information
Read this before the table
PM2 has never beaten the closing line. Over 2015–2025 the market was 0.4–0.6 points more accurate, and a large gap between PM2 and the line usually meant PM2 was missing something.
Large gaps often line up with quarterback injuries PM2 does not use; check the flags column. Games outside the Power 4 have no injury report at all.
The one open question is timing: whether lines move toward PM2's early-week number. That test reaches its decision sample of 300 games around November 8.